SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 24.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dunfermline Athletic.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
51.05% ( 0.2) | 24.27% ( 0.16) | 24.67% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.04% ( -1.01) | 47.96% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.86% ( -0.94) | 70.14% ( 0.94) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.21% ( -0.31) | 18.79% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.79% ( -0.52) | 50.21% ( 0.52) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.24% ( -0.85) | 33.76% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.58% ( -0.93) | 70.42% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.21% Total : 51.05% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.67% |
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