SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Ayr United |
39.14% ( -0.05) | 25.09% ( 0.13) | 35.76% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.82% ( -0.6) | 46.17% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.53% ( -0.57) | 68.47% ( 0.57) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( -0.29) | 23.37% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% ( -0.42) | 57.34% ( 0.42) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( -0.33) | 25.19% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.08% ( -0.45) | 59.92% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.11% Total : 39.14% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.76% |
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