SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
40.31% ( -0.59) | 25.94% ( -0.04) | 33.75% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 54.04% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.74% ( 0.29) | 50.25% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( 0.26) | 72.21% ( -0.26) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( -0.18) | 24.59% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.91% ( -0.25) | 59.09% ( 0.25) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( 0.54) | 28.34% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.93% ( 0.68) | 64.07% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.7% Total : 40.31% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.75% |
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