Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 35.59%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (12.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
