Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 27.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
