Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
