Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
