Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.