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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 17
Feb 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
IC

Ayr
0 - 2
Inverness


McCowan (54'), Muirhead (63'), Ndaba (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mackay (31'), Sutherland (54')
Todorov (35')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
37.61%26.12%36.26%
Both teams to score 53.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.29%50.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38%72.61%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74%26.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63%61.37%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96%27.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6%62.4%
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 37.61%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 36.26%
    Draw 26.12%
Ayr UnitedDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 9.49%
2-1 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 37.61%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.1%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 9.29%
1-2 @ 8.12%
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 3.54%
0-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.26%

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