SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Raith Rovers |
67.89% ( 0.15) | 18.4% ( 0.06) | 13.71% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.57% ( -0.79) | 38.43% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.28% ( -0.84) | 60.72% ( 0.84) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.63% ( -0.18) | 10.37% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.13% ( -0.41) | 33.87% ( 0.41) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.86% ( -0.8) | 40.14% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.22% ( -0.74) | 76.78% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 2-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 2.07% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.59% Total : 67.89% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.4% | 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.69% Total : 13.71% |
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