SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 51.26%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Ayr United |
51.26% ( -0.02) | 23.29% ( 0.01) | 25.44% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57% ( -0.02) | 43% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.6% ( -0.02) | 65.4% ( 0.02) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.15% ( -0.02) | 16.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.15% ( -0.03) | 46.85% ( 0.03) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.54% ( -0.01) | 30.46% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.33% ( -0) | 66.67% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.14% 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.26% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 25.44% |
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