SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
48.88% ( -0.54) | 23.05% ( 0.06) | 28.07% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 61.11% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.27% ( 0.07) | 39.73% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.91% ( 0.07) | 62.08% ( -0.07) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.5% ( -0.17) | 16.5% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.76% ( -0.31) | 46.23% ( 0.3) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( 0.36) | 26.81% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% ( 0.48) | 62.11% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.44% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.07% |
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