Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
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