Dunfermline
2 - 1
Hearts

Thomas (49'), Murray (54')
Whittaker (56'), Fon Williams (78'), Edwards (83'), Dow (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kingsley (84')
Halliday (57'), Walker (59'), Halkett (73'), Naismith (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Report

The Match

Match Report

The result lifts Dunfermline three points clear of Raith.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Hearts
36.12%	26.99%	36.88%

Both teams to score 50.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.64%

54.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.26%

75.73%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.13%

28.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.27%

64.73%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.59%

28.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.84%

64.16%

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 36.11%

Hearts 36.87%

Draw 26.99%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.11%	1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.99%	0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.87%