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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Dundee United |
20.9% ( 0.24) | 24.29% ( -0.03) | 54.8% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 49.16% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.18% ( 0.4) | 51.82% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.42% ( 0.34) | 73.58% ( -0.34) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.55% ( 0.48) | 39.45% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.85% ( 0.45) | 76.14% ( -0.45) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( 0.07) | 18.81% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.76% ( 0.11) | 50.24% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.38% Total : 20.9% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 10.35% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.77% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.37% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.79% |
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