SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 81.54%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 6.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.79%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.9%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Arbroath |
81.54% ( -0.34) | 12.42% ( 0.21) | 6.05% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 43.8% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.65% ( -0.44) | 34.35% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.74% ( -0.49) | 56.26% ( 0.5) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.61% ( -0.15) | 6.39% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.02% ( -0.43) | 23.98% ( 0.43) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.79% ( 0.11) | 53.21% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.22% ( 0.07) | 86.79% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0)6-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.19% Total : 81.53% | 1-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.55% Total : 12.42% | 0-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.04% Total : 6.05% |
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