Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
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