SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
45.51% ( 0.13) | 24.44% ( -0.01) | 30.04% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.57% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.01% ( -0.05) | 44.99% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% ( -0.04) | 67.34% ( 0.03) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( 0.03) | 19.88% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.99% ( 0.06) | 52% ( -0.07) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( -0.11) | 28.14% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.18% ( -0.14) | 63.82% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.04% |
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