SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
41.78% ( 0.15) | 25.01% ( -0.01) | 33.22% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.07% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.74% ( -0.01) | 46.26% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.44% ( -0) | 68.55% ( 0) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( 0.06) | 22.11% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.53% ( 0.1) | 55.47% ( -0.1) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% ( -0.09) | 26.73% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38% ( -0.12) | 62% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.78% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.22% |
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