SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Raith Rovers |
59.2% ( 0.15) | 22.51% ( -0.04) | 18.3% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.36% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% ( 0.02) | 48.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.77% ( 0.02) | 70.23% ( -0.01) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% ( 0.06) | 15.88% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.9% ( 0.1) | 45.1% ( -0.1) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.87% ( -0.11) | 40.13% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.23% ( -0.1) | 76.77% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 59.18% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.5% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 18.3% |
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