SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
43.81% ( 0.29) | 25.5% ( -0) | 30.69% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.39% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.7% ( -0.11) | 49.3% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.65% ( -0.09) | 71.35% ( 0.1) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( 0.09) | 22.44% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.02% ( 0.13) | 55.98% ( -0.13) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% ( -0.24) | 29.86% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.05% ( -0.3) | 65.95% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.27% Total : 30.69% |
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