SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 14.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Greenock Morton |
64.17% ( 0.47) | 21.57% ( -0.17) | 14.26% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 44.74% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.93% ( 0.11) | 51.07% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.07% ( 0.09) | 72.93% ( -0.09) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( 0.19) | 15.25% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.06% ( 0.35) | 43.94% ( -0.35) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.8% ( -0.37) | 47.2% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.36% ( -0.28) | 82.64% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 64.15% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 14.26% |
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