SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Falkirk |
28.32% ( -0.15) | 23.73% ( 0.04) | 47.95% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.88% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.25% ( -0.3) | 42.75% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.84% ( -0.3) | 65.16% ( 0.3) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( -0.26) | 28.19% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.11% ( -0.33) | 63.89% ( 0.34) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82% ( -0.07) | 18% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.13% ( -0.12) | 48.87% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Falkirk |
| 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.32% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.65% Total : 47.95% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
