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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Falkirk |
33.3% ( 7.94) | 23.69% ( 0.01) | 43.01% ( -7.95) |
| Both teams to score 61.79% ( 5.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.88% ( 4.69) | 40.12% ( -4.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.51% ( 4.68) | 62.49% ( -4.68) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( 7.75) | 23.75% ( -7.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.11% ( 9.99) | 57.89% ( -9.99) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% ( -1.34) | 18.97% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.49% ( -2.28) | 50.51% ( 2.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Falkirk |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 1.31) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.95)3-1 @ 3.71% ( 1.23)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.93)3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.81)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.62)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.49)Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.3% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.85)0-0 @ 4.51% ( -1.05)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.46)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.71) 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -2.15)0-2 @ 6.22% ( -2.14)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.63)2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.34)0-3 @ 3.45% ( -1.39)1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.37)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.67)Other @ 3.4% Total : 43.01% |
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