Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
