SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 46.82% | 25.6% | 27.58% |
| Both teams to score 52.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% | 51.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.85% | 73.15% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% | 21.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.82% | 55.18% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% | 33.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.2% | 69.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.38% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-0 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.82% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.02% 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.45% Total : 27.58% |
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