Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.