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HL
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 4
Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
IC

Hearts
2 - 1
Inverness

Naismith (47'), Boyce (70')
Haring (22'), Halliday (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doran (86')
Deas (39')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 20.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-2 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hearts in this match.

Result
HeartsDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
57.43%22.11%20.46%
Both teams to score 55.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.74%43.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35%65.65%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.18%14.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.89%43.11%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98%35.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.23%71.76%
Score Analysis
    Hearts 57.43%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 20.46%
    Draw 22.1%
HeartsDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.46%
3-1 @ 6.32%
3-0 @ 6.02%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 3.02%
4-0 @ 2.87%
4-2 @ 1.58%
5-1 @ 1.15%
5-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57.43%
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 5.21%
0-0 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 5.45%
0-1 @ 5.45%
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.46%


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