Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-2 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hearts in this match.