Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.
