Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.