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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
HL

Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Hamilton

Shaw (5'), Armstrong (74')
Alston (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Kilmarnock and Hamilton Academical.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawHamilton Academical
55.41%24.06%20.52%
Both teams to score 49.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.61%51.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8%73.2%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58%18.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.43%49.57%
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4%39.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.71%76.28%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 55.4%
    Hamilton Academical 20.52%
    Draw 24.05%
KilmarnockDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 12.33%
2-0 @ 10.43%
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 5.89%
3-1 @ 5.45%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 2.31%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 55.4%
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 7.29%
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.76%
1-2 @ 5.29%
0-2 @ 3.13%
1-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 20.52%

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