Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
