Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Hamilton Academical
31.78% ( 2.19)	28.78% ( -0.06)	39.44% ( -2.14)

Both teams to score 45% (

0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.56% (

0.75)

61.43% (

-0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.68% (

0.55)

81.32% (

-0.55)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.61% (

2.07)

35.38% (

-2.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.85% (

2.09)

72.14% (

-2.09)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.64% (

-0.87)

30.35% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.46% (

-1.05)

66.54% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 31.77%

Hamilton Academical 39.44%

Draw 28.76%

Ayr United	Draw	Hamilton Academical
1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.09% Total : 31.77%	1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.76%	0-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.68) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.6) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.41% Total : 39.44%