SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Ayr United | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Greenock Morton | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
31.78% ( 2.19) | 28.78% ( -0.06) | 39.44% ( -2.14) |
| Both teams to score 45% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.56% ( 0.75) | 61.43% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.68% ( 0.55) | 81.32% ( -0.55) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% ( 2.07) | 35.38% ( -2.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% ( 2.09) | 72.14% ( -2.09) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( -0.87) | 30.35% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% ( -1.05) | 66.54% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.47)3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.09% Total : 31.77% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.76% | 0-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.68) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.6)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.41% Total : 39.44% |
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