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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
HL

Ayr
2 - 2
Hamilton

Akinyemi (3'), Murdoch (85')
Murdoch (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Winter (14'), O'Reilly (73')
O'Reilly (68')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Queen's Park 2-3 Ayr
Friday, August 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawHamilton Academical
31.78% (2.191 2.19) 28.78% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 39.44% (-2.14 -2.14)
Both teams to score 45% (0.898 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.56% (0.745 0.75)61.43% (-0.749 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.68% (0.55 0.55)81.32% (-0.55499999999999 -0.55)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61% (2.067 2.07)35.38% (-2.07 -2.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.85% (2.087 2.09)72.14% (-2.09 -2.09)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (-0.867 -0.87)30.35% (0.863 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (-1.045 -1.05)66.54% (1.041 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 31.77%
    Hamilton Academical 39.44%
    Draw 28.76%
Ayr UnitedDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 11.15% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 6.91% (0.407 0.41)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.47 0.47)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.264 0.26)
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.263 0.26)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 31.77%
1-1 @ 13.3% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 10.73% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.76%
0-1 @ 12.8% (-0.68 -0.68)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-2 @ 7.63% (-0.602 -0.6)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.318 -0.32)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 39.44%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Queen's Park 2-3 Ayr
Friday, August 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 0-0 Arbroath
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Ayr
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Annan 1-1 Ayr (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Ayr 0-3 QotS
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Ayr 3-0 Elgin (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Partick 1-1 Hamilton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 1-1 Morton
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 1-1 Queen's Park
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Forfar 0-3 Hamilton
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Hamilton 5-2 Stranraer
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dundee 3-0 Hamilton
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup


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