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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fountain of Youth Stadium
S

Hamilton
5 - 2
Stranraer

Winter (49'), Ryan (51'), Shiels (53', 55'), Smith (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Woods (68' pen., 88' pen.)
McLean (47'), Walker (90')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Hamilton Academical and Stranraer.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 55.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Stranraer win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawStranraer
55.58% (-0.307 -0.31) 22.32% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 22.1% (0.371 0.37)
Both teams to score 57.08% (0.71400000000001 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.88% (0.703 0.7)42.12% (-0.697 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.47% (0.70099999999999 0.7)64.52% (-0.69499999999999 -0.69)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (0.14400000000001 0.14)15.04% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.47% (0.26499999999999 0.26)43.53% (-0.259 -0.26)
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (0.732 0.73)32.82% (-0.726 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (0.807 0.81)69.39% (-0.80000000000001 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 55.58%
    Stranraer 22.1%
    Draw 22.32%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawStranraer
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.248 -0.25)
2-0 @ 8.86% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.65% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 55.58%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.078 0.08)
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.071 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 22.1%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dundee 3-0 Hamilton
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Inverness 4-0 Hamilton
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Raith Rovers
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 0-1 Hamilton
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 0-1 Arbroath
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 1-1 Hamilton
Friday, April 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Stranraer 2-5 Queen's Park
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stranraer 2-0 Elgin
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-3 Stranraer
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 0-3 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Albion Rovers 0-5 Stranraer
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 0-2 Forfar
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Scottish League Two


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