Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
0.8) 
-0.25) 
