SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dumbarton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | East Fife | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Partick Thistle | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Raith Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
28.05% ( 0.8) | 26.5% ( -0.25) | 45.45% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 49.79% ( 1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.43% ( 1.35) | 54.57% ( -1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.09% ( 1.11) | 75.91% ( -1.11) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% ( 1.37) | 34.54% ( -1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.74% ( 1.43) | 71.26% ( -1.43) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% ( 0.32) | 23.94% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.84% ( 0.46) | 58.16% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.2% Total : 28.05% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.44)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.51) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.45% |
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