SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
28.92% ( -0.06) | 24.81% ( 0.02) | 46.26% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.63% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.77% ( -0.1) | 47.23% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.54% ( -0.1) | 69.46% ( 0.1) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( -0.09) | 30.05% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.82% ( -0.11) | 66.18% ( 0.11) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.52% ( -0.03) | 20.47% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.05% ( -0.04) | 52.94% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 28.92% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.26% |
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