Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
