SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 17.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
61.81% ( 0.82) | 20.86% ( -0.13) | 17.33% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.54% ( -0.58) | 42.46% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.14% ( -0.58) | 64.86% ( 0.58) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.79% ( 0.06) | 13.21% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.05% ( 0.12) | 39.94% ( -0.12) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.07% ( -1.14) | 37.93% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.3% ( -1.12) | 74.7% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 61.8% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.86% | 0-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.26% Total : 17.33% |
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