Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
