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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 18
Feb 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stark's Park
AA

Raith Rovers
3 - 1
Alloa

Davidson (68'), Hendry (84'), Gullan (90+1')
Benedictus (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cameron (14')
Hetherington (45'), Trouten (58'), Dick (64'), Cawley (69'), Graham (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 66.17%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 15.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawAlloa Athletic
66.17%18.49%15.34%
Both teams to score 57.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.83%35.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.81%57.18%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.1%9.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.21%32.79%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.14%35.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.37%72.63%
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 66.17%
    Alloa Athletic 15.34%
    Draw 18.49%
Raith RoversDrawAlloa Athletic
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 9.49%
1-0 @ 8.21%
3-1 @ 7.51%
3-0 @ 7.32%
4-1 @ 4.34%
4-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 3.85%
4-2 @ 2.23%
5-1 @ 2.01%
5-0 @ 1.96%
5-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 66.17%
1-1 @ 8.42%
2-2 @ 4.99%
0-0 @ 3.55%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 18.49%
1-2 @ 4.32%
0-1 @ 3.64%
0-2 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.71%
1-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 15.34%

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