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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 19
Mar 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Recreation Park
IC

Alloa
1 - 1
Inverness

Cameron (17')
Connelly (14')
Trouten (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Todorov (27')
McKay (74'), Devine (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 54.14%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
23.29%22.56%54.14%
Both teams to score 57.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19%41.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78%64.21%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41%31.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.01%67.99%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59%15.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.77%44.22%
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 23.29%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 54.14%
    Draw 22.56%
Alloa AthleticDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
2-1 @ 6.04%
1-0 @ 5.61%
2-0 @ 3.23%
3-1 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 2.17%
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 23.29%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-1 @ 9.1%
0-2 @ 8.51%
1-3 @ 6.12%
0-3 @ 5.31%
2-3 @ 3.52%
1-4 @ 2.86%
0-4 @ 2.48%
2-4 @ 1.65%
1-5 @ 1.07%
0-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 54.14%

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