Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.