Morton
2 - 0
QotS

Orsi (41', 77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McCabe (36'), Ferguson (42'), Fitzpatrick (79')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

Queens lost talisman Stephen Dobbie to a hamstring injury in the first half and hit the woodwork twice on a frustrating afternoon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Queen of the South
48.62%	24.47%	26.91%

Both teams to score 55.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.98%

47.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.74%

69.26%

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6%

19.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.79%

51.21%

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.55%

31.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.17%

67.82%

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 48.62%

Queen of the South 26.91%

Draw 24.46%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Queen of the South
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 5.19% 3-0 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.06% Total : 48.62%	1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.46%	0-1 @ 7.06% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.8% Total : 26.91%