Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 24.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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