SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Ross County | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | St Johnstone | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | St Mirren | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ayr United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Johnstone in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Ayr United |
54.79% ( 0.12) | 24.78% ( -0.05) | 20.43% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.09% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.77% ( 0.11) | 54.23% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.37% ( 0.09) | 75.63% ( -0.09) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.26% ( 0.09) | 19.74% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.23% ( 0.15) | 51.77% ( -0.14) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.67% ( -0.01) | 41.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.15% ( -0.01) | 77.85% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 54.77% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.43% |
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