Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
