Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
