Raith Rovers
1 - 0
Morton

Gullan (82')
King (22'), Duku (54'), Tait (58'), Armstrong (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Strapp (72'), Colville (78')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

Jamie Gullan hits winner for Raith against Morton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Greenock Morton
55.91%	22.28%	21.81%

Both teams to score 56.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.72%

42.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.32%

64.68%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.02%

14.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.58%

43.42%

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.83%

33.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.22%

69.78%

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 55.91%

Greenock Morton 21.81%

Draw 22.28%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Greenock Morton
2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 6.25% 3-0 @ 5.67% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-0 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.83% Total : 55.91%	1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 5.45% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.28%	1-2 @ 5.74% 0-1 @ 5.48% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.81%