Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.
