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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 20
Mar 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
East End Park
GM

Dunfermline
1 - 0
Morton

Wighton (44')
MacDonald (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fjortoft (31')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 19.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawGreenock Morton
57.55%23.13%19.32%
Both teams to score 50.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.84%49.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78%71.22%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.17%16.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.19%46.8%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.39%39.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.7%76.29%
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 57.54%
    Greenock Morton 19.32%
    Draw 23.12%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 6.29%
3-1 @ 5.83%
4-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-2 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 1%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 57.54%
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 6.66%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.17%
1-2 @ 5.09%
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 19.32%

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