Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 16.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
