SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
48.94% ( 1.12) | 22.61% ( -0.29) | 28.44% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 62.99% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.63% ( 0.85) | 37.37% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.41% ( 0.9) | 59.59% ( -0.9) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.4% ( 0.72) | 15.6% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.42% ( 1.32) | 44.58% ( -1.32) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.11) | 25.36% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.84% ( -0.15) | 60.16% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.88% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 28.45% |
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