Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Montrose win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
