SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
59.37% ( 0.26) | 21.29% ( -0.08) | 19.34% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.85% ( 0.12) | 41.15% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.45% ( 0.12) | 63.54% ( -0.12) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.48% ( 0.12) | 13.52% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.43% ( 0.24) | 40.57% ( -0.23) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.06% ( -0.11) | 34.94% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.32% ( -0.12) | 71.68% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.28% Total : 59.37% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.34% |
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